Arizona State has an uphill climb if it wants to improve upon their 6-7 2016 campaign while incorporating a bevy of new coaches, a new starter at quarterback, as well as several new starters on the offensive line and defensive backfield. Let's have a look at 10 numbers that could factor in to both the expectations, and on field performance for the 2016 season.
ZERO
The number of consecutive .500 or below seasons Todd Graham has had as a head coach. After going 5-7 with Tulsa in 2009, Graham's Hurricane rebounded with a 10-3 year. After going 6-6 in one season at Pitt, Graham took a Sun Devils team that had previously been 6-7 to an 8-5 record in 2012.
1319
The average number of fans per game Arizona State had above rival University of Arizona at home games in 2015. That number was 15,070 in 2013, and 6,469 in 2014, but due to consecutive drops in attendance of 9 and 8 percent at Sun Devil Stadium, ASU is in danger of pulling in less paid attendance per game than a school with a much lesser alumni base and surrounding population.
2004
The last time Arizona State beat Oregon, most of the senior class of this year's Sun Devils team were learning simple division and spending their leisure time watching Lizzy McGuire. Oregon is the only Pac-12 team Todd Graham has yet to defeat, and after last year's triple-overtime heartbreaker, a win in Eugene has to be a high priority.
16
The number of touches that new offensive coordinator Chip Lindsey's top two running backs averaged per game last year at Southern Miss. This in an offense that also produced nearly 4,500 yards passing. If the Sun Devils are truly going to be a run-first offense in 2016, Demario Richard and Kalen Ballage should expect to see the ball 18-20 times per game, each. This could also mean redshirt freshman Jason Lewis needs to be ready to carry a feature back-level workload in case of an injury to either of the top two ballcarriers.
3.96
Arizona State finished 3rd in the Pac-12 last year in yards per carry allowed, and the defense has only allowed 3.96 yards per carry over the course of Todd Graham's four year tenure. Assuming the passing defense can't get statistically worse than it was in was in 2015, any overall progress defensively depends on the run defense meeting the standard it has set for itself, and allowing a net average of under four yards per carry.
127
The place ASU finished in total passing yards allowed and passing yards per game in 2015.... out of 127 FBS teams. The Sun Devils were also tied for last among Power 5 conference schools in TD passes allowed (35), and last amongst Power 5 teams in yards allowed per catch (14.9). From the time Pac-12 conference play started, Arizona State surrendered 400 yards passing per game and 15.4 yards per catch. Don't expect the Sun Devils to immediately restore the #5 ranked passing defense of Todd Graham's first season at ASU, especially with an inexperienced defensive backfield, but any improvement at all should help keep this team competitive in some of the tougher games on the schedule.
4
The number of wins to start the season that will likely guarantee a 2016 bowl berth. Arizona State has Northern Arizona, UTSA, Texas Tech, and California to start the season, with three of those four winnable games coming at home. While it's not unheard of for a team that starts out hot to miss a bowl, as Missouri, Kentucky, Colorado, Boston College, Syracuse and Illinois did in 2015, no team that started off 4-0 managed to tank their season so bad that they were left out of postseason play. Making a bowl in 2016 would be the first time in ASU history that the team made six consecutive bowl appearances, and Todd Graham would become the first ASU coach to take the Sun Devils to five bowls since Frank Kush was at the helm.
19
The number of years it's been since ASU's projected starting quarterback hadn't had a previous pass attempt at the collegiate level. Redshirt freshman Ryan Kealy was named ASU's starter in late August of the 1997 season, and led the Sun Devils to an 8-3 regular season record and a Sun Bowl appearance. Steven Threet is the last QB to be the unquestioned starter for ASU that didn't have in-game experience the previous season, but he did start for Michigan two seasons prior to his stint at the helm of the Sun Devils.
6
The number of potential starting quarterbacks ASU will face in conference play who were not the starters in last year's matchups. USC, Utah, Cal and Oregon all graduated last year's starters (ASU went 0-4 in those games), while Colorado's Sefo Liufau may be forced to redshirt due to a foot injury, and Arizona's Anu Solomon missed last year's Territorial Cup.
38
The number of projected scholarship players on ASU's 2016 roster that are at least 6-3. Recruiting players with size has been a hallmark of the Todd Graham era in Tempe, and the up-and-coming recruits are increasingly large. Of the 38 players that stand at least 6-3, 22 have come by way of the last two recruiting classes. Of those, players like QB Bryce Perkins, RB Jason Lewis, WR N'Keal Harry, WR Terrell Chatman, OL Zach Robertson, OL Steven Miller, OL Quinn Bailey and LB Koron Crump could be in line to make a serious impact this year, while TE JayJay Wilson and DL JoJo Wicker can already be penciled in as significant role players.