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October 17, 2012
RANKINGS: Class of 2013 Team Recruiting Rankings
Dallas Jackson is the National Columnist for Rivals.com. Email him your comments or story ideas to DallasJ@Yahoo-Inc.com and follow him on Twitter.
All three will likely be fired soon after the season ends, if not before.
While each situation is unique, Rivals.com national recruiting analyst Mike Farrell believes that the commonality falls back to recruiting opportunities after a change is made.
"Selling a new vision at programs that are going the wrong way has a long track record of paying immediate dividends," Farrell said. "I believe that the win-loss record should dictate coaching changes but pressure from fans and boosters has gotten in the way of that at some places. That said, I would always take talent over coaching, so getting better players into the system is always a benefit and firing a guy prematurely can jumpstart recruiting as well."
Yahoo! Sports college football columnist Pat Forde said that the passion of fans can force the hand of administrations and eliminate any goodwill built by coaches.
"When you look at a place like Auburn, it is a fan base that cares so deeply about winning that there is a flip side to its success," Forde said. "It is barely a year and a half removed from a national championship season and it may be the end of the line for (Gene) Chizik."
As the season crosses its midpoint, the internal discussions surrounding potential coaching changes have heated up at other schools outside of Auburn such as California, USF, Tennessee, and Texas may be falling into a pattern that Forde and Farrell speak against.
"Change because of a leveling off is change for change sake," Farrell said. "It is a dangerous game to play because some programs just do not realize that they are what they are, and making a bad hire can be worse than winning eight games every year and going to bowl games."
Forde shares that opinion and points to California and Texas as places that may want to exercise caution.
"Declining returns produce a double-edged sword," he said. "When you have a coach that lifts a program up, people only expect them to keep it at that level, so when you slip they want a change. Not all programs are on autopilot and some programs need to take a long look at what they have and realize it may be the best they can get."
But Forde acknowledged that the immediacy of the sport will continue to force the hand at larger programs.
"It really is 'what have you done for me lately?' in today's college football," he said.
It is in that vein that Rivals.com takes a look at the coaches who have been ineffective recently. It not only could cost them a job, it could impact the school in recruiting.
COACHES ON THE HOT SEAT
Derek Dooley, Tennessee
Frank Spaziani, Boston College
Gene Chizik, Auburn
John L. Smith, Arkansas
Joker Phillips, Kentucky
Jeff Tedford, California
Mack Brown, Texas
Skip Holtz, South Florida
Arizona State NEWS